Just started testing this out. I'm using the free trial of OctagonAI currently. I ran the default settings initially and it used 50 of my 100 credits (as I expected). But it seems like a lot of events it timed out on during research. I've switched to just doing a single event. Still have a timeout:
Failed to research KXTEAMSINSB-26: Timeout after 1800s
Notice I doubled the timeout from 900s to 1800s.
Maybe it's just asking too much? Here's the prompt that got generated. Seems like there's a lot of questions being asked:
You are a prediction market expert. Research this event and predict the probability for each market independently.
Event: Which teams will play in the 2026 Pro Football Championship Game?
Subtitle: Before Feb 7, 2026
Mutually Exclusive: True
Markets:
1. Will Buffalo and Seattle be the matchup in the 2026 Pro Football Championship Game? (Ticker: KXTEAMSINSB-26-BUFSEA)
Open: 2025-12-27T06:26:19Z
Close: 2026-02-07T15:00:00Z
2. Will Denver and San Francisco be the matchup in the 2026 Pro Football Championship Game? (Ticker: KXTEAMSINSB-26-DENSF)
Open: 2025-10-13T21:28:30Z
Close: 2026-02-07T15:00:00Z
3. Will Denver and Seattle be the matchup in the 2026 Pro Football Championship Game? (Ticker: KXTEAMSINSB-26-DENSEA)
Open: 2025-12-27T06:26:19Z
Close: 2026-02-07T15:00:00Z
4. Will New England and Seattle be the matchup in the 2026 Pro Football Championship Game? (Ticker: KXTEAMSINSB-26-NESEA)
Open: 2025-12-27T06:26:19Z
Close: 2026-02-07T15:00:00Z
5. Will New England and San Francisco be the matchup in the 2026 Pro Football Championship Game? (Ticker: KXTEAMSINSB-26-NESF)
Open: 2025-10-13T21:28:30Z
Close: 2026-02-07T15:00:00Z
6. Will Jacksonville and Seattle be the matchup in the 2026 Pro Football Championship Game? (Ticker: KXTEAMSINSB-26-JACSEA)
Open: 2025-12-27T06:26:19Z
Close: 2026-02-07T15:00:00Z
7. Will New England and Los Angeles R be the matchup in the 2026 Pro Football Championship Game? (Ticker: KXTEAMSINSB-26-NELA)
Open: 2025-10-13T21:28:30Z
Close: 2026-02-07T15:00:00Z
8. Will Jacksonville and San Francisco be the matchup in the 2026 Pro Football Championship Game? (Ticker: KXTEAMSINSB-26-JACSF)
Open: 2025-10-13T21:28:30Z
Close: 2026-02-07T15:00:00Z
9. Will Buffalo and Philadelphia be the matchup in the 2026 Pro Football Championship Game? (Ticker: KXTEAMSINSB-26-BUFPHI)
Open: 2025-10-13T21:28:30Z
Close: 2026-02-07T15:00:00Z
10. Will Jacksonville and Los Angeles R be the matchup in the 2026 Pro Football Championship Game? (Ticker: KXTEAMSINSB-26-JACLA)
Open: 2025-10-13T21:28:30Z
Close: 2026-02-07T15:00:00Z
Please provide:
1. Overall event analysis and key factors
2. Current sentiment and news analysis
3. For each market, predict the probability of YES outcome (0-100%)
4. Confidence level for each prediction (1-10)
5. Key risks and catalysts that could affect outcomes
6. Trading recommendations for each market
Focus on:
- Independent analysis of each market's probability
- If mutually exclusive: probabilities should sum to ~100% (only one outcome can be true)
- If not mutually exclusive: each market can be evaluated independently
- Provide actionable insights for trading decisions
- Be specific about probability estimates
IMPORTANT: When providing probability predictions, include both the market ticker AND the probability percentage.
Example format: "KXTHEOPEN-25-DMCC: 15%" or "McCarthy (KXTHEOPEN-25-DMCC): 15% probability"
Format your response clearly with market tickers and probability predictions.
Would really like to know the rest of my credits aren't going to be wasted before I test any more.
Just started testing this out. I'm using the free trial of OctagonAI currently. I ran the default settings initially and it used 50 of my 100 credits (as I expected). But it seems like a lot of events it timed out on during research. I've switched to just doing a single event. Still have a timeout:
Failed to research KXTEAMSINSB-26: Timeout after 1800sNotice I doubled the timeout from 900s to 1800s.
Maybe it's just asking too much? Here's the prompt that got generated. Seems like there's a lot of questions being asked:
Would really like to know the rest of my credits aren't going to be wasted before I test any more.