[H1] Uncertainty Quantification — confidence intervals on all outputs

[ariffazil]

Issue Summary

F14 (Recursive Self-Application) is the most critical TODO in the arifOS roadmap but also the most underspecified. This issue tracks the APEX decision required before F14 can be drafted.

The Problem

F14 self-modification proposals face an infinite regress problem: If F14 judges its own modification proposals, what judges F14's judgments? Without a fixed-point anchor, the recursive chain never terminates.

APEX Decision Required

F13 SOVEREIGN is the only fixed-point anchor. Until a meta-Floor exists above F14, all F14 self-modification proposals must be ratified by human (Arif/APEX).

Options:

• Option A (Recommended): F13-anchored ratification only — F14 proposals go to Arif for final approval until H3
• Option B: Fixed-point constitutional anchor — F14 as self-modification except for F14 itself (Gödel-lock)
• Option C: Defer to H3 — no F14 drafting until LENS organ exists

H1.1 Milestones

• APEX decision recorded (this issue)
• F14 draft text produced with F13-anchored constraint
• F14 added to 000/FLOORS/F14_recursive_self_application.md
• VAULT999 schema updated to support self-modification receipts

References

• ROADMAP.md H1.1