diff --git a/packages/capture-kit/src/snapshot/scroll-edge-state.ts b/packages/capture-kit/src/snapshot/scroll-edge-state.ts
index 7359b2348d..240c1237f6 100644
--- a/packages/capture-kit/src/snapshot/scroll-edge-state.ts
+++ b/packages/capture-kit/src/snapshot/scroll-edge-state.ts
@@ -81,9 +81,10 @@ export async function captureScrollEdgeState(params: {
 export async function readScrollEdgeState(
   nodes: readonly (RawSnapshotNode | SnapshotNode)[],
   edge: ScrollEdge,
+  target: ScrollEdgeTarget = {},
 ): Promise<ScrollEdgeState> {
   const { analyzeScrollEdgeState } = await import('./scroll-edge-state/selection.ts');
-  return analyzeScrollEdgeState(nodes, edge);
+  return analyzeScrollEdgeState(nodes, edge, target);
 }
 
 /**
diff --git a/src/daemon/__tests__/scroll-movement.test.ts b/src/daemon/__tests__/scroll-movement.test.ts
index 1097fa2ad3..5756f614d0 100644
--- a/src/daemon/__tests__/scroll-movement.test.ts
+++ b/src/daemon/__tests__/scroll-movement.test.ts
@@ -177,6 +177,94 @@ test('a surface that no longer holds the pre-gesture content answers moved on th
   assert.equal(spy.calls(), 1);
 });
 
+/**
+ * At the end of a list iOS rubber-bands past the edge: the first capture lands mid-bounce with every row
+ * shifted, then the content springs back to exactly the pre-gesture tree (#2884). A baseline that already
+ * showed the end of the content turns that first read into a question, not a verdict.
+ */
+test('a bounce past the edge that springs back is at-edge, not moved', async () => {
+  const { observation, spy } = observe({
+    baseline: baselineOf(screen(0, false)),
+    screens: [screen(-14, false), screen(0, false), screen(0, false)],
+  });
+
+  assert.equal(await observation, 'at-edge');
+  assert.equal(spy.calls(), 3);
+});
+
+/**
+ * The edge question is asked of the scroller under the swipe, through the same selection the edge
+ * verdict uses: among the containers holding the point, the one that still hides content in that
+ * direction. An inner list at its end inside an outer list with more below hands the swipe to the
+ * outer list (that is what the platform does with the gesture), so the rest requirement does not
+ * engage and the first differing read is the movement it produced.
+ */
+test('an inner list at its end inside an outer list with hidden content hands the swipe on', async () => {
+  const outer = {
+    type: 'ScrollView',
+    identifier: 'outer',
+    rect: { x: 0, y: 100, width: 402, height: 760 },
+    hiddenContentBelow: true,
+  } as SnapshotNode;
+  const inner = (rowOffset: number) => [
+    outer,
+    ...screen(rowOffset, false).map((node) =>
+      node.type === 'ScrollView' ? ({ ...node, identifier: 'inner' } as SnapshotNode) : node,
+    ),
+  ];
+  const { observation, spy } = observe({
+    baseline: baselineOf(inner(0)),
+    screens: [inner(-300)],
+  });
+
+  assert.equal(await observation, 'moved');
+  assert.equal(spy.calls(), 1);
+});
+
+/** With no outer list left to take it, the swipe point resolves the inner list and its edge gates the claim. */
+test('an inner list at its end with no outer list left to scroll is gated on rest', async () => {
+  const outerAtEnd = {
+    type: 'ScrollView',
+    identifier: 'outer',
+    rect: { x: 0, y: 100, width: 402, height: 760 },
+  } as SnapshotNode;
+  const inner = (rowOffset: number) => [
+    outerAtEnd,
+    ...screen(rowOffset, false).map((node) =>
+      node.type === 'ScrollView' ? ({ ...node, identifier: 'inner' } as SnapshotNode) : node,
+    ),
+  ];
+  const { observation, spy } = observe({
+    baseline: baselineOf(inner(0)),
+    screens: [inner(-14), inner(0), inner(0)],
+  });
+
+  assert.equal(await observation, 'at-edge');
+  assert.equal(spy.calls(), 3);
+});
+
+test('content that changes at the edge and holds still is still moved', async () => {
+  const { observation, spy } = observe({
+    baseline: baselineOf(screen(0, false)),
+    screens: [screen(-300, false), screen(-300, false)],
+  });
+
+  assert.equal(await observation, 'moved');
+  // The rest requirement costs exactly the one extra read, and only at the edge.
+  assert.equal(spy.calls(), 2);
+});
+
+test('a bounce that never settles at the edge spends the budget and answers unobserved', async () => {
+  const { observation } = observe({
+    baseline: baselineOf(screen(0, false)),
+    screens: (attempt) => screen(attempt % 2 === 0 ? -14 : 0, false),
+    budgetMs: 40,
+  });
+
+  assert.equal(await observation, 'unobserved');
+  assertWithheld('surface-unsettled');
+});
+
 test('a surface that never shifted while the container still hides content refuses with a typed reason', async () => {
   const { observation, spy } = observe({
     baseline: baselineOf(screen(0)),
diff --git a/src/daemon/scroll-movement.ts b/src/daemon/scroll-movement.ts
index e0c878d7bb..7bc96f6ca0 100644
--- a/src/daemon/scroll-movement.ts
+++ b/src/daemon/scroll-movement.ts
@@ -51,6 +51,8 @@ import type { SessionState } from './session-state.ts';
  * baseline is answered on the first capture, so a scroll that worked pays nothing extra; only a
  * surface that looks untouched keeps polling (a mid-flight or stale read is indistinguishable from a
  * no-op until it either moves or goes quiet), and only an untouched surface at rest is ever reported.
+ * The one exception is a baseline that already ended in the scrolled direction: there a differing
+ * first read is an overscroll bounce until it holds still (`baselineEndsInDirection`).
  *
  * Nothing is classified before the two trees are established to be two views of one screen, and that
  * gate runs on every capture rather than only on the quiet path. The deferred loop can adopt a new
@@ -68,6 +70,8 @@ export type ScrollSurfaceBaseline = Readonly<{
   signature: InteractionSurfaceSignature;
   presentationKey: string | undefined;
   comparisonKey: string | undefined;
+  /** The tree itself: whether the content already ended in the scrolled direction is asked of nodes. */
+  nodes: SnapshotState['nodes'];
 }>;
 
 /** Why there is nothing honest to compare this scroll's effect against. */
@@ -134,6 +138,7 @@ export function readScrollSurfaceBaseline(
     signature,
     presentationKey: snapshot.presentationKey,
     comparisonKey: snapshotSurfaceComparisonKey(snapshot),
+    nodes: snapshot.nodes,
   };
 }
 
@@ -234,7 +239,9 @@ function surfacePairDrift(
 
 /**
  * Polls until an untouched surface proves itself. A surface that differs from the baseline is a
- * verdict on the first capture, so a scroll that worked pays for one read. One that looks untouched
+ * verdict on the first capture, so a scroll that worked pays for one read, unless the baseline
+ * already ended in the scrolled direction, where the change must hold still first
+ * (`baselineEndsInDirection`). One that looks untouched
  * needs a quiet pair, because a gesture still in flight and a gesture that did nothing answer a
  * single read identically. A surface that never holds still expires as `surface-unsettled` rather
  * than being called a no-op — and that answer is worth a warning the others are not, since it spent
@@ -254,28 +261,91 @@ async function pollForSurfaceVerdict(
   const deadline = startedAt + (params.budgetMs ?? MOVEMENT_VERDICT_BUDGET_MS);
   let previous: InteractionSurfaceSignature | undefined;
   let attempts = 0;
+  let changeNeedsRest: boolean | undefined;
 
   while (true) {
     const reading = await readOneCapture(baseline, params.capture);
     attempts += 1;
     if (reading.kind === 'blind') return { kind: 'blind', reason: reading.reason };
-    if (reading.kind === 'changed')
-      return { kind: 'moved', observed: reading.observed, attempts, startedAt };
-    if (surfaceIsAtRest(previous, reading.observed.signature)) {
-      return {
-        kind: 'settled',
-        observed: reading.observed,
-        evidence: reading.evidence,
-        attempts,
-        startedAt,
-      };
+    if (reading.kind === 'changed') {
+      changeNeedsRest ??= await baselineEndsInDirection(baseline, params.direction, params.swipe);
     }
+    const verdict = settledVerdict(reading, {
+      previous,
+      changeNeedsRest: changeNeedsRest === true,
+      attempts,
+      startedAt,
+    });
+    if (verdict) return verdict;
     if (Date.now() >= deadline) return budgetExpiredVerdict(params, attempts, startedAt);
     previous = reading.observed.signature;
     await sleep(params.pollMs ?? MOVEMENT_POLL_MS);
   }
 }
 
+/**
+ * The verdict one readable capture supports, or nothing yet. A changed surface is movement on sight
+ * unless the baseline already ended in that direction, where it must hold still first; an unchanged
+ * surface is settled only as the second of a quiet pair.
+ */
+function settledVerdict(
+  reading: Exclude<CaptureReading, { kind: 'blind' }>,
+  poll: {
+    previous: InteractionSurfaceSignature | undefined;
+    changeNeedsRest: boolean;
+    attempts: number;
+    startedAt: number;
+  },
+): SurfaceVerdict | undefined {
+  const atRest = surfaceIsAtRest(poll.previous, reading.observed.signature);
+  const { attempts, startedAt } = poll;
+  if (reading.kind === 'changed') {
+    if (!poll.changeNeedsRest || atRest) {
+      return { kind: 'moved', observed: reading.observed, attempts, startedAt };
+    }
+    return undefined;
+  }
+  if (!atRest) return undefined;
+  return {
+    kind: 'settled',
+    observed: reading.observed,
+    evidence: reading.evidence,
+    attempts,
+    startedAt,
+  };
+}
+
+/**
+ * Whether the pre-gesture tree already showed the end of the content in the scrolled direction. A
+ * scroll past that edge on iOS rubber-bands: the first capture lands mid-bounce with every row shifted
+ * by a few points and reads as `changed`, then the content springs back to exactly the baseline, which
+ * is what the next command's stabilization later observes as a stale-accept (#2884). So a change against
+ * a baseline that had nothing left to reveal is credited only once the surface holds still and still
+ * differs; a scroll whose baseline still hid content keeps paying one read.
+ */
+async function baselineEndsInDirection(
+  baseline: ScrollSurfaceBaseline,
+  direction: ScrollDirection,
+  swipe: ScrollSwipeEvidence,
+): Promise<boolean> {
+  const edge = verticalEdgeFor(direction);
+  if (!edge) return false;
+  // The question is asked of the scroller the swipe ran in, through the selection the edge verdict
+  // uses: among the containers holding the point, the one that still hides content in that
+  // direction. An inner list at its end inside an outer list with more below hands the gesture to
+  // the outer list, so the outer list's edge is what gates the claim.
+  const state = await readScrollEdgeState(baseline.nodes, edge, { point: swipe.midpoint });
+  const ends = state.containerRect !== undefined && !state.canScroll;
+  if (ends) {
+    emitDiagnostic({
+      level: 'debug',
+      phase: 'scroll_movement_edge_rest_required',
+      data: { direction, containerRect: state.containerRect },
+    });
+  }
+  return ends;
+}
+
 /**
  * What a single capture says, on its own: nothing at all when the tree could not be read or comes from
  * another lineage, movement when the surface differs from the baseline, and otherwise the untouched