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import os
import sys
import psycopg2
import pandas as pd
from sklearn.ensemble import RandomForestRegressor
import joblib
import numpy as np
from datetime import datetime, timedelta
def fetch_user_data(user_id: str) -> pd.DataFrame:
conn = psycopg2.connect(
dbname=os.getenv("DB_NAME", "energy_data"),
user=os.getenv("DB_USER", "divyanshagrawal"),
password=os.getenv("DB_PASS", ""),
host=os.getenv("DB_HOST", "localhost"),
port=os.getenv("DB_PORT", "5432"),
)
query = """
SELECT
ts AS timestamp,
consumption_kwh AS consumption,
EXTRACT(MONTH FROM ts) AS month,
EXTRACT(DOW FROM ts) AS day_of_week,
EXTRACT(HOUR FROM ts) AS hour
FROM meter_readings
WHERE user_id = %s
ORDER BY ts
"""
df = pd.read_sql(query, conn, params=(user_id,))
conn.close()
return df
def train_user_model(df, user_id):
X = df[["month", "day_of_week", "hour"]]
y = df["consumption"]
model = RandomForestRegressor(n_estimators=100, random_state=42)
model.fit(X, y)
filename = f"user_model_{user_id}.pkl"
joblib.dump(model, filename)
print(f"User model saved as {filename}")
return model
def hybrid_predict(user_id, month, day_of_week, hour):
# Load base model
base_model = joblib.load("base_model.pkl")
# Try loading user model
try:
user_model = joblib.load(f"user_model_{user_id}.pkl")
user_data_available = True
except FileNotFoundError:
print("No user model found, using only base model")
user_model = None
user_data_available = False
# Build base-model input using the model's own expected feature names and order
# Handles odd spellings like 'day_of _week' and arbitrary ordering
def _normalize(name: str) -> str:
return ''.join(ch for ch in name.lower() if ch.isalnum() or ch == '_').replace('__', '_')
# Defaults for features we don't have live values for
defaults = {
'temperature_c': 20.0,
'lag1': 2.0,
'lag4': 2.0,
'lag96': 2.0,
}
# Canonical inputs we do have
available = {
'month': float(month),
'day_of_week': float(day_of_week),
'day_of_week_with_space': float(day_of_week), # for 'day_of _week'
'hour': float(hour),
}
# Try to read expected feature names from the model
expected_features = None
if hasattr(base_model, 'feature_names_in_'):
try:
expected_features = list(base_model.feature_names_in_)
except Exception:
expected_features = None
# XGBoost legacy path
if expected_features is None and hasattr(base_model, 'get_booster'):
try:
booster = base_model.get_booster()
expected_features = booster.feature_names
except Exception:
expected_features = None
# Fallback to a sensible default order if the model doesn't expose names
if expected_features is None:
expected_features = ["month", "day_of_week", "hour", "temperature_c", "lag1", "lag4", "lag96"]
# Map normalized names to values
value_by_norm = {}
for key, val in available.items():
value_by_norm[_normalize(key)] = val
for key, val in defaults.items():
value_by_norm[_normalize(key)] = val
# Construct the row in the exact expected order and with the exact column names
row_values = []
for feat in expected_features:
norm = _normalize(feat)
# Special-case common typos
if norm == _normalize('day_of _week'):
norm = _normalize('day_of_week')
val = value_by_norm.get(norm)
if val is None:
# Unknown feature → use 0.0 as safe fallback
val = 0.0
row_values.append(val)
X_base = pd.DataFrame([row_values], columns=expected_features)
# Create DataFrame for user model using its expected feature names/order
X_user = None
if user_data_available:
user_expected = None
if hasattr(user_model, 'feature_names_in_'):
try:
user_expected = list(user_model.feature_names_in_)
except Exception:
user_expected = None
if user_expected is None:
user_expected = ["month", "day_of_week", "hour"]
def _normalize(name: str) -> str:
return ''.join(ch for ch in name.lower() if ch.isalnum() or ch == '_').replace('__', '_')
provided = {
'month': float(month),
'day_of_week': float(day_of_week),
'day_of_week_with_space': float(day_of_week), # handles 'day_of _week'
'hour': float(hour),
}
norm_to_val = { _normalize(k): v for k, v in provided.items() }
user_row = []
for feat in user_expected:
norm = _normalize(feat)
if norm == _normalize('day_of _week'):
norm = _normalize('day_of_week')
val = norm_to_val.get(norm, 0.0)
user_row.append(val)
X_user = pd.DataFrame([user_row], columns=user_expected)
# Get base model prediction
base_pred = base_model.predict(X_base)[0]
if user_data_available:
user_pred = user_model.predict(X_user)[0]
# weight based on how much user data exists
weight = min(0.8, len(fetch_user_data(user_id)) / 1000.0)
final_pred = (1 - weight) * base_pred + weight * user_pred
return final_pred
else:
return base_pred
def forecast_next24_series(user_id: str, start_dt: datetime | None = None) -> list:
"""Generate 24 hourly forecasts using the base model's expected features.
Maintains lag features across steps and adds gentle noise to temperature.
Returns list of dicts: {timestamp, hour, kwh}
"""
base_model = joblib.load("base_model.pkl")
# Helper to normalize names (match hybrid_predict logic)
def _normalize(name: str) -> str:
return ''.join(ch for ch in name.lower() if ch.isalnum() or ch == '_').replace('__', '_')
# Discover expected features from the base model
expected_features = None
if hasattr(base_model, 'feature_names_in_'):
try:
expected_features = list(base_model.feature_names_in_)
except Exception:
expected_features = None
if expected_features is None and hasattr(base_model, 'get_booster'):
try:
expected_features = base_model.get_booster().feature_names
except Exception:
expected_features = None
if expected_features is None:
expected_features = ["month", "day_of_week", "hour", "temperature_c", "lag1", "lag4", "lag96"]
# Seed state from latest DB row if available
last_ts = None
last_temp = 20.0
lag1 = 2.0
lag4 = 2.0
lag96 = 2.0
try:
conn = psycopg2.connect(
dbname=os.getenv("DB_NAME", "energy_data"),
user=os.getenv("DB_USER", "admin"),
password=os.getenv("DB_PASS", "admin123"),
host=os.getenv("DB_HOST", "localhost"),
port=os.getenv("DB_PORT", "5432"),
)
with conn.cursor() as cur:
cur.execute(
"""
SELECT ts, consumption_kwh
FROM meter_readings
WHERE user_id = %s
ORDER BY ts DESC
LIMIT 1
""",
(user_id,),
)
row = cur.fetchone()
if row:
last_ts = row[0]
lag1 = float(row[1])
conn.close()
except Exception:
pass
# Use provided start time or derive from last_ts or now
if start_dt is None:
if last_ts is not None:
try:
start_dt = last_ts.replace(minute=0, second=0, microsecond=0) + timedelta(hours=1)
except Exception:
start_dt = datetime.utcnow().replace(minute=0, second=0, microsecond=0)
else:
start_dt = datetime.utcnow().replace(minute=0, second=0, microsecond=0)
series = []
for i in range(24):
ts = start_dt + timedelta(hours=i)
month = ts.month
dow = ts.weekday() # 0=Mon
hour = ts.hour
# Build value map for all potentially needed features
values = {
'month': float(month),
'day_of_week': float(dow),
'day_of_week_with_space': float(dow),
'hour': float(hour),
'temperature_c': float(last_temp),
'lag1': float(lag1),
'lag4': float(lag4),
'lag96': float(lag96),
}
# Assemble in expected order
row_vals = []
for feat in expected_features:
norm = _normalize(feat)
if norm == _normalize('day_of _week'):
norm = _normalize('day_of_week')
row_vals.append(float(values.get(norm, 0.0)))
X = pd.DataFrame([row_vals], columns=expected_features)
y = float(base_model.predict(X)[0])
series.append({"timestamp": ts.isoformat(), "hour": hour, "kwh": y})
# Update lags for next step
lag96 = lag4
lag4 = lag1
lag1 = y
# Drift temperature slightly
try:
last_temp = float(last_temp) + float(np.random.normal(0, 0.2))
except Exception:
last_temp = float(last_temp)
return series
if __name__ == "__main__":
# Entrypoint for retraining job
user_id = os.getenv("USER_ID", "user_001")
print(f"[MODEL] Starting retrain for user_id={user_id}")
try:
df = fetch_user_data(user_id)
if df.empty:
print(f"[MODEL] No data for {user_id}. Skipping training.")
sys.exit(0)
model = train_user_model(df, user_id)
print(f"[MODEL] Training complete for {user_id}")
sys.exit(0)
except Exception as e:
print(f"[MODEL] Training failed: {e}")
sys.exit(1)