Skip to content

Moneyball-tech/prediction-terminal

Repository files navigation

Moneyball

A web-based analytics and decision-support app for prediction markets. Moneyball adds professional-grade risk analysis, scenario modeling, and explainable market insights on top of Polymarket data — without requiring a browser extension.

Project info

URL: https://lovable.dev/projects/<YOUR_PROJECT_ID>

What is Moneyball?

Moneyball is a standalone web application designed to help traders and researchers better understand prediction markets before placing trades.

Instead of interacting directly inside Polymarket’s UI, users open Moneyball as a separate web app, select a market, and receive:

  • Clear risk / reward breakdowns
  • Visual payoff (P&L) curves
  • Market microstructure insights
  • Scenario analysis and sizing intuition
  • Plain-English explanations of why a trade may or may not make sense

The goal is to bring institutional-style trading tooling to prediction markets.

Core Features (MVP)

Market Overview

  • Event + outcome selection
  • Current YES / NO prices
  • Volume, liquidity, spread
  • Market status (open, resolved, close time)

Payoff & Risk

  • Interactive P&L curves
  • Breakeven visualization
  • Max gain / max loss
  • Position sizing intuition

Market Microstructure

  • Best bid / ask
  • Orderbook depth (aggregated)
  • Spread and liquidity signals

Historical Analysis

  • Price history charts
  • Volatility intuition
  • Momentum vs mean-reversion signals

Scenario Modeling

  • “If price moves to X” simulations
  • Time-based outcome scenarios
  • Simple hedge exploration across related markets

Explainable Assistant

  • Natural-language summaries of market state
  • Key risks and uncertainties
  • What assumptions a trade depends on

How can I edit this code?

There are several ways of editing your application.

Use Lovable

Visit the project and prompt edits: https://lovable.dev/projects/<YOUR_PROJECT_ID>

Changes made via Lovable will be committed automatically to this repo.

Use your preferred IDE

# Step 1: Clone the repository
git clone <YOUR_GIT_URL>

# Step 2: Enter the project directory
cd <YOUR_PROJECT_NAME>

# Step 3: Install dependencies
npm i

# Step 4: Run the dev server
npm run dev

About

No description, website, or topics provided.

Resources

Stars

Watchers

Forks

Releases

No releases published

Packages

 
 
 

Contributors

Languages