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v0.5.58 — Simulation Cheap-Baseline Benchmark (Loop 36) - #152
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Per-signal comparison: does each simulation output beat its cheapest meaningful heuristic baseline on the within-AMP hemolysis task? Changes: - scripts/benchmark_simulation_baselines.py -- compares 4 simulation signals against their cheapest heuristic baselines. - Makefile -- added bench-simulation-baselines target. - tests/test_benchmark_simulation_baselines.py -- 13 tests. - docs/50_LOOP_PLAN.md -- Loop 36 complete, next Loop 38. - docs/ROADMAP.md -- v0.5.58 entry. - docs/METRICS_CURRENT.md -- Pipeline v0.5.58, 1953 tests. - docs/BENCHMARKING.md -- Added bench-simulation-baselines. Honest finding: 0/4 simulation signals beat their cheapest baseline. All modules remain permanently experimental. Weighted mode blocked.
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Per-signal comparison: does each simulation output beat its cheapest meaningful heuristic baseline?
Primary:
scripts/benchmark_simulation_baselines.py— compares 4 simulation signals vs cheap baselines on the within-AMP hemolysis task.make bench-simulation-baselines.Honest finding: 0/4 signals beat their cheapest baseline.
Consequence: All simulation modules remain permanently experimental. Weighted mode stays blocked. Future work needs fundamentally richer modeling, not 1D propensities.
Tests: 13 tests covering baselines, AUROC, all-blocked verdict, CLI output.
Doc updates: 50_LOOP_PLAN (Loop 36 complete), ROADMAP (v0.5.58), METRICS_CURRENT (v0.5.58, 1953 tests), BENCHMARKING (22 targets match Makefile).
1953 tests passing (pre-push full suite).