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212bd03
README.md
laukamkit Mar 9, 2026
d29ab78
uploading EDA.ipynb under src
laukamkit Mar 11, 2026
2ba0bc6
Changed df_forecast["DATETIME"] parsing to use "format="%Y-%m-%d %H:%…
kfkyim Mar 11, 2026
b5ae316
Added average day of week demand analysis + commentary as well as min…
kfkyim Mar 11, 2026
de08e01
Created using Colab
laukamkit Mar 11, 2026
edf933e
Uploading agenda for meeting on March 13, 2026
laukamkit Mar 12, 2026
5c05d9b
Added minutes of March 13 2026 into /minutes folder.
kfkyim Mar 13, 2026
23ace08
Merge branch 'main' of https://github.com/laukamkit/capstone_project_…
kfkyim Mar 13, 2026
52cc48d
Added literature reviews folder to collect our literature reviews.
kfkyim Mar 13, 2026
eff085a
Add files via upload
laukamkit Mar 13, 2026
d815910
Add Gantt chart data and visualization files
kfkyim Mar 14, 2026
8dff484
Added Gantt Chart into Project Plan.
kfkyim Mar 15, 2026
d58271f
.gitignore init
kfkyim Mar 15, 2026
aad6df2
Updated Gantt chart with initials to show who is responsible for whic…
kfkyim Mar 15, 2026
f4d4294
Updated Gantt chart on project plan.
kfkyim Mar 15, 2026
4e88b3d
Upload Final Draft of Project Plan
laukamkit Mar 15, 2026
f41bdc6
Update README.md
laukamkit Mar 15, 2026
e4fc1be
Add pre-processing notebook under src
laukamkit Mar 15, 2026
2e2b6b0
Upload pre-processed data (1)
laukamkit Mar 15, 2026
d8e465b
Upload pre-processed data (1)
laukamkit Mar 15, 2026
26325b1
upload pre-processed data (2)
laukamkit Mar 15, 2026
f12946d
upload pre-processed data (3)
laukamkit Mar 15, 2026
fd21ba4
Minor update on Section numbers and folder name
laukamkit Mar 15, 2026
3d6da0d
Added PatchTST Kelvin's take on literature review.
kfkyim Mar 16, 2026
e795d18
Merge branch 'main' of https://github.com/laukamkit/capstone_project_…
kfkyim Mar 16, 2026
16502df
Adding Kelvin's take on the project plan.
kfkyim Mar 17, 2026
3afe04a
slight modification on kelvin version project plan
kfkyim Mar 17, 2026
913b3a1
more modification on kelvin project plan
kfkyim Mar 17, 2026
2768db9
Add files via upload
laukamkit Mar 18, 2026
e1014a2
Upload minutes of Meeting 1B with Wei Tien
laukamkit Mar 18, 2026
f65b245
Update pre-processed data fr 30-min to 1-hr interval
laukamkit Mar 19, 2026
4ca7c78
Update pre-processed fr 30-min to 1-hr interval
laukamkit Mar 19, 2026
7476fa3
Lit Review for Stat Time models
danthewombat Mar 20, 2026
a282e6d
Add files via upload
bchick84 Mar 20, 2026
db07e83
Uploaded draft notebook for PatchTST part
laukamkit Mar 20, 2026
658f8c4
Archived older project plan versions. A newer version of project plan…
kfkyim Mar 21, 2026
fdeeeb7
Merge branch 'main' of https://github.com/laukamkit/capstone_project_…
kfkyim Mar 21, 2026
7f28d43
Upload the final version of Project Plan
laukamkit Mar 22, 2026
d8b4044
Upload the agenda and minute for 1st week (2nd meeting)
laukamkit Mar 22, 2026
81a521f
Upload updated version of project plan
laukamkit Mar 23, 2026
17092b5
Upload final submitted project plan
laukamkit Mar 24, 2026
bf061a2
Upload final submitted project plan
laukamkit Mar 24, 2026
241ed79
Update pre-processing notebook (1 hr interval)
laukamkit Mar 27, 2026
4de0aef
SARIMAX model
danthewombat Mar 28, 2026
4d4337b
Update with-temp model with PatchTST model
laukamkit Mar 29, 2026
8598701
Created using Colab
laukamkit Mar 29, 2026
64a71a0
Update data 1/2 hr interval, 48-step forecast
laukamkit Mar 29, 2026
d1bdcf3
Update data 1/2 hr interval, 48-step forecast
laukamkit Mar 29, 2026
6025eda
Update data 1/2 hr interval, 48-step forecast
laukamkit Mar 29, 2026
b4c1c5f
Created using Colab
laukamkit Mar 29, 2026
6934355
Created using Colab
laukamkit Mar 29, 2026
3bbe99e
Created using Colab
laukamkit Mar 29, 2026
49d32f8
Created using Colab
laukamkit Mar 30, 2026
4c7627a
Created using Colab
laukamkit Mar 30, 2026
561024d
Created using Colab
laukamkit Mar 30, 2026
ba31e99
init .gitignore
kfkyim Mar 30, 2026
678862e
adding implementation of official PatchTST repository by the authors.
kfkyim Mar 30, 2026
86bd865
Added implementation of TimeXer from official repo.
kfkyim Mar 30, 2026
fd2bff7
Add model_id argument to command line parser for experiment configura…
kfkyim Mar 30, 2026
6dd1f12
implemented inverse transform on output results for official transfor…
kfkyim Mar 30, 2026
f7d5acd
bug fix
kfkyim Mar 30, 2026
7482f3a
Updated SARIMAX model + added Gradient Boosting comparison
danthewombat Mar 30, 2026
2efcdc0
Final SARIMAX + Gradient Boosting updates
danthewombat Mar 30, 2026
c65e2b3
Created using Colab
laukamkit Mar 31, 2026
9817eca
added parameter to set seed during training
kfkyim Mar 31, 2026
e7958b7
Merge branch 'main' of https://github.com/laukamkit/capstone_project_…
kfkyim Mar 31, 2026
0047b4d
merge Dan's change on Final SARIMAX and Gradient Boosting updates
kfkyim Mar 31, 2026
af32711
Update data to include forecast of diff horizons
laukamkit Mar 31, 2026
3087bcb
Created using Colab
laukamkit Mar 31, 2026
45f58e8
Update data to include forecast of diff horizons
laukamkit Mar 31, 2026
4b94f16
Update data to include forecast of diff horizons
laukamkit Mar 31, 2026
377cbfa
Created using Colab
laukamkit Mar 31, 2026
a66ad97
first draft of NSW data loader class
kfkyim Apr 1, 2026
01e5c97
Upload an eg of how i propose to change Sarimax
laukamkit Apr 1, 2026
29a5547
Previous version corrupted
laukamkit Apr 2, 2026
6e83aad
SARIMAX and Gradient Boost Update
danthewombat Apr 2, 2026
50c90cd
Refactor data loading and scaling in NSWDataLoader to retain all colu…
kfkyim Apr 2, 2026
fa0644f
Merge branch 'main' of https://github.com/laukamkit/capstone_project_…
kfkyim Apr 2, 2026
6692dc6
update to refactor of models.
kfkyim Apr 4, 2026
da3c881
add eda
kfkyim Apr 5, 2026
97852d5
v2
kfkyim Apr 5, 2026
421eb3d
Add files via upload
bchick84 Apr 5, 2026
38e6d73
add notes
kfkyim Apr 5, 2026
5103e98
Implement code changes to enhance functionality and improve performance
kfkyim Apr 5, 2026
02ad699
latest sarimax
kfkyim Apr 6, 2026
bf37554
implemented test set testing
kfkyim Apr 6, 2026
02d66be
Merge branch 'kelvin_sarimax'
kfkyim Apr 6, 2026
b3cce9d
Updated data downloader and new csv data.
kfkyim Apr 6, 2026
0984ef2
Adjusted refactored group_a_models module with correct SARIMAX traini…
kfkyim Apr 6, 2026
cf15a17
Placed refactored code into different folders
kfkyim Apr 6, 2026
346fbfb
Delete src/01_Kam_Test_Sarimax.ipynb
laukamkit Apr 7, 2026
1e35c89
Add files via upload
laukamkit Apr 7, 2026
2e31383
Reorganized PatchTST folders and refactored training/testing loop.
kfkyim Apr 7, 2026
b14d5f1
Further refactoring of code. Completed for PatchTST
kfkyim Apr 7, 2026
b78fe02
Moved seed initialization for reproducibility to Base_Model;
kfkyim Apr 7, 2026
fe450bf
Refactor _compute_inverse_scaling method to remove unnecessary criter…
kfkyim Apr 7, 2026
7549231
Update: Methods + Tuning
danthewombat Apr 7, 2026
c6f34ec
Implemented LSTMs into refactored code
kfkyim Apr 8, 2026
156a835
Merge branch 'main' of https://github.com/laukamkit/capstone_project_…
kfkyim Apr 8, 2026
0e5e2a3
Refactor: Remove helper_funcs.py and integrate add_lag_features into …
kfkyim Apr 8, 2026
6135266
Refactor: Streamline model training and evaluation by encapsulating c…
kfkyim Apr 8, 2026
22065c1
Add: Save detailed rolling forecast results to CSV in LSTM evaluation
kfkyim Apr 8, 2026
9b04f6d
Simplify shape extractions in run_experiment by using iterators for t…
kfkyim Apr 8, 2026
23e81d9
Corrected references to Harvard style
laukamkit Apr 9, 2026
733546e
location change of files.
kfkyim Apr 9, 2026
a5f6a35
Merge branch 'main' of https://github.com/laukamkit/capstone_project_…
kfkyim Apr 9, 2026
95fb418
Implemented GB training loop.
kfkyim Apr 9, 2026
2598839
Add config_params_to_results property to SARIMAXConfig and Transforme…
kfkyim Apr 9, 2026
c0b9ad8
Add total_epochs_run, best_epoch, and early_stop_epoch tracking to mo…
kfkyim Apr 9, 2026
2d30a14
Fix SARIMAXConfig property mapping for feature lags and validation st…
kfkyim Apr 9, 2026
0450084
Upload Agenda and Minute for Week 2,3,4
laukamkit Apr 10, 2026
4ab64c1
Upload Agenda for Week 2,3,4
laukamkit Apr 10, 2026
7b3531b
GB, removed context_length loop since we are fitting on entire datase…
kfkyim Apr 10, 2026
f56141d
Refactor LSTM configuration to include log target option and evaluati…
kfkyim Apr 10, 2026
9ccc2d5
transformer config added evaluation step sizes to specify forecast wi…
kfkyim Apr 10, 2026
f495544
Implement evaluation step sizes into the model classes and related do…
kfkyim Apr 10, 2026
776f136
rest are small changse.
kfkyim Apr 10, 2026
ce6d05e
misc
kfkyim Apr 10, 2026
f221521
Merge branch 'main' of https://github.com/laukamkit/capstone_project_…
kfkyim Apr 10, 2026
3f5018e
NSWDataSet.py - cleaned up naming on variables. created reference to …
kfkyim Apr 11, 2026
ad451a3
Added more attributes for config_params_to_results to be more verbose
kfkyim Apr 11, 2026
e66f914
Refactor model configuration and logging for Gradient Boosting, LSTM,…
kfkyim Apr 11, 2026
3078c4e
Update evaluation method in run_experiment to include test_mode param…
kfkyim Apr 11, 2026
59f2c9b
bug fix
kfkyim Apr 11, 2026
e75d10d
Refactor task ID generation in Gradient Boosting, LSTM, SARIMAX, and …
kfkyim Apr 11, 2026
a09c8b3
Results first run
kfkyim Apr 11, 2026
547dbc5
Enhance run_experiment function to accept experiment_name parameter; …
kfkyim Apr 12, 2026
b0dc119
Refactor inverse scaling computation in PatchTSTModel for improved ha…
kfkyim Apr 12, 2026
bc7460b
Add num_attention_heads to TransformersConfig and adjust model traini…
kfkyim Apr 12, 2026
440a18b
Remove master_metrics.csv.
kfkyim Apr 12, 2026
0488913
Refactor data handling in BaseModel to account for dropped rows; upda…
kfkyim Apr 12, 2026
ac01fa6
Remove patchtst_master_metrics.csv file as it's wrong.
kfkyim Apr 12, 2026
8c51042
Update c_out property in TransformersConfig to return dynamic output …
kfkyim Apr 12, 2026
cccc54e
Implemented TimeXer model and refactored so PatchTST shares a class T…
kfkyim Apr 12, 2026
9e506f0
Remove best_transformers.py as it is no longer needed.
kfkyim Apr 12, 2026
2bbbda3
Remove shuffle_flag from DeepLearningConfig and model instantiations …
kfkyim Apr 12, 2026
3b72e4a
Update NUM_EPOCHS and model parameters in best_timexer.py for improve…
kfkyim Apr 12, 2026
26eff81
re-done LSTM loop
kfkyim Apr 12, 2026
c23d5eb
Update NUM_EPOCHS in best_patchtst.py to 100 for improved training co…
kfkyim Apr 12, 2026
16a32ae
Removing SARIMAX results as it is incorrect. SARIMAX should not have …
kfkyim Apr 12, 2026
27380e0
Refactor SARIMAX model fitting to avoid parameter refitting with vali…
kfkyim Apr 12, 2026
2fc33a1
Add SARIMAX test metrics CSV file with performance metrics
kfkyim Apr 13, 2026
25de962
For the fitting log, adding model config parameters to easier tell wh…
kfkyim Apr 13, 2026
920bd88
Upload LSTM results from Kam
laukamkit Apr 13, 2026
a475390
uploading model training log and result files
kfkyim Apr 14, 2026
735712e
reuploading all result files
kfkyim Apr 14, 2026
fd416bc
Update .gitignore to include fitting log and test metrics files
kfkyim Apr 16, 2026
dca6989
uploading patchtst best model test set actual vs predictions
kfkyim Apr 16, 2026
5be46bf
uploading patchtst best model test set actual vs predicitons (horizon…
kfkyim Apr 16, 2026
a760863
Created using Colab
laukamkit Apr 16, 2026
fbc33bd
Created using Colab
laukamkit Apr 16, 2026
7a1323f
uploading LSTM (multi-step) prediction results.
kfkyim Apr 17, 2026
f8c9fd0
Merge branch 'main' of https://github.com/laukamkit/capstone_project_…
kfkyim Apr 17, 2026
bf6d7c2
refactor saving and loading of models. refactor saving of logs and re…
kfkyim Apr 17, 2026
6100b65
Remove best_sarimax.py and add evaluate_best_sarimax.ipynb for model …
kfkyim Apr 17, 2026
6432ac6
Add specific_output_dir parameter to model initializers for GradientB…
kfkyim Apr 17, 2026
fe435e4
correct context length
kelvin-yim510 Apr 17, 2026
aa1bca3
delete data files to train on 70/10/20 to align with literature inste…
kfkyim Apr 17, 2026
0ba1596
Merge branch 'main' of https://github.com/laukamkit/capstone_project_…
kfkyim Apr 17, 2026
39f364c
Remove best_patchtst.py and add evaluate_best_patchtst.ipynb for mode…
kfkyim Apr 17, 2026
2765d7a
change to not save model
kelvin-yim510 Apr 17, 2026
7f0c12b
change to not save model
kelvin-yim510 Apr 17, 2026
ecab3ac
bug fix
kfkyim Apr 17, 2026
aea59ec
Merge branch 'main' of https://github.com/laukamkit/capstone_project_…
kfkyim Apr 17, 2026
d9d89e7
added gb tuning and evaluation notebook
kfkyim Apr 17, 2026
2b88583
typo
kfkyim Apr 17, 2026
4d51d35
removed best_lstm.py and added colab version for tuning and evaluatio…
kfkyim Apr 17, 2026
70117e0
remove best_lstm.py
kfkyim Apr 17, 2026
e341286
refactor: simplify patchtst_tuning notebook by removing unnecessary c…
kfkyim Apr 17, 2026
e54a374
remake patchtst notebook
kfkyim Apr 17, 2026
0feb3eb
uploading model plots and best model notebook
kfkyim Apr 18, 2026
7546c66
uploading best sarimax model
kfkyim Apr 18, 2026
33cf1a5
predictor table for report
kfkyim Apr 18, 2026
25a6410
update gb tuning notebook to only use 1 seed (57721)
kfkyim Apr 19, 2026
0bdaad1
add number of parameters to model training logs for LSTM and Transfor…
kfkyim Apr 19, 2026
d8fd450
Complete notebook on finding best parameters for each models. Also ha…
kfkyim Apr 19, 2026
65c90ef
formatting
kfkyim Apr 19, 2026
d3fd617
upload notebooks ready to get test results for best model.
kfkyim Apr 19, 2026
7300f9e
modify markdown commentary
kfkyim Apr 19, 2026
d2c2a01
finalized tuning notebooks.
kfkyim Apr 19, 2026
46c3335
added training duration for GB model.
kfkyim Apr 19, 2026
fdd276b
cleaned up comments and set default "save_model" to false.
kfkyim Apr 19, 2026
28779a8
added best epoch vertical line on training plot if not None.
kfkyim Apr 19, 2026
bf15807
uploading final datasets with updated 70/10/20 splits.
kfkyim Apr 19, 2026
7d4aa7c
removed old 60/20/20 data split for test results and training log files.
kfkyim Apr 19, 2026
0a708c8
housekeeping
kfkyim Apr 19, 2026
4dba0ba
implemented provided forecast demand plots.
kfkyim Apr 19, 2026
db298de
added extra_time_steps parameter to expand the plots by N timesteps i…
kfkyim Apr 19, 2026
5f8f632
finished evaluating gb notebook
kelvin-yim510 Apr 19, 2026
129fc4f
completed getting test results for lstm
kelvin-yim510 Apr 19, 2026
ae93982
refactor: improve legend font size in training history and prediction…
kfkyim Apr 19, 2026
2a641f7
uploading patchtst table for report.
kfkyim Apr 19, 2026
fcd65e6
completed consolidated notebook for training curves and choosing best…
kfkyim Apr 19, 2026
f19ed43
finished running patchtst evaluation of best model
kelvin-yim510 Apr 20, 2026
f800cd4
add validation rmse for LSTM training log
kfkyim Apr 20, 2026
406236a
latest model_pllots notebook
kfkyim Apr 20, 2026
de4fabb
clean up files and organize them to folders.
kfkyim Apr 20, 2026
57fbe93
Upload Week 5 minute
laukamkit Apr 20, 2026
2199911
Upload Week 5
laukamkit Apr 20, 2026
cdd1843
Upload Week 5 agenda
laukamkit Apr 20, 2026
7ce0a5b
uploading test results table for all best models.
kfkyim Apr 20, 2026
80240dc
Merge branch 'main' of https://github.com/laukamkit/capstone_project_…
kfkyim Apr 20, 2026
4f37ad0
added training_data_size specification
kfkyim Apr 21, 2026
8bbb90b
updating our final roles
kfkyim Apr 21, 2026
cc5538e
uploading final results (rmse & mae) table of best models
kfkyim Apr 21, 2026
d798e9a
uploading test result metrics and prediction results of best models.
kfkyim Apr 21, 2026
eabf2dc
Created using Colab
laukamkit Apr 21, 2026
b6e7e2b
clean up
kfkyim Apr 21, 2026
43837de
Merge branch 'main' of https://github.com/laukamkit/capstone_project_…
kfkyim Apr 21, 2026
fecc439
clean up
kfkyim Apr 21, 2026
03c63e2
clean up - organize into folders
kfkyim Apr 21, 2026
ac23e96
update README.md
kfkyim Apr 21, 2026
a8cb929
Created using Colab
laukamkit Apr 21, 2026
3f918a9
Created using Colab
laukamkit Apr 21, 2026
7930891
clean up best_models.ipynb
kfkyim Apr 21, 2026
2ed2fd8
Merge branch 'main' of https://github.com/laukamkit/capstone_project_…
kfkyim Apr 21, 2026
866cbee
Add description for draft notebooks in README.md
kfkyim Apr 21, 2026
6652993
clean up
kfkyim Apr 21, 2026
47e90f5
Created using Colab
laukamkit Apr 21, 2026
053a21f
Added Sarimax diagnostic plots to model evaluation notebook
kfkyim Apr 22, 2026
4f41992
clean up and adding report tables to appropriate folders
kfkyim Apr 23, 2026
a91ae53
uploading fitting log and small update in roles in README.md
kfkyim Apr 24, 2026
08fe0b4
excel graph for presentation
kfkyim Apr 25, 2026
920d9dd
Uploading word document of final report (unsigned)
kfkyim Apr 26, 2026
e0d44b4
Updated scripts to add comments
kfkyim Apr 26, 2026
a2e070a
uploading SIGNED copy of the report
kfkyim Apr 26, 2026
d460c8c
added github URL to final report abstract
kfkyim Apr 26, 2026
4df7977
Add transparency option to prediction plots and colour specific by mo…
kfkyim Apr 27, 2026
516deef
finalizing these documents
kfkyim Apr 27, 2026
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11 changes: 11 additions & 0 deletions .gitignore
Original file line number Diff line number Diff line change
@@ -0,0 +1,11 @@
*.venv
#requirements*.txt

src/checkpoint/*
*.pyc
__pycache__/

*.pth
*.npy

timexer*
34 changes: 28 additions & 6 deletions README.md
Original file line number Diff line number Diff line change
@@ -1,4 +1,4 @@
# Welcome to ZZSC9020 GitHub repository for group [GROUP-NAME]
# Welcome to ZZSC9020 GitHub repository for group A

This GitHub repository is the main point of access for students and lecturers of the ZZSC9020 capstone course.

Expand All @@ -9,11 +9,11 @@ Complete the information below regarding your group.
## Group and project information

### Group members and zIDs
- Member 1 (zID1) - Group leader
- Member 2 (zID2) - role
- Member 3 (zID3) - role
- Member 4 (zID4) - role
- Member 5 (zID5) - role
- Brendan (z5632728): Research consultant and Model analysis of SARIMAX + LSTM + Comparison
- Daniel (z5623647): Presentation/Communication Lead and Model analysis of Gradient Boosting + LSTM
- Kam (z5618444): Project Manager, Presentation/Communication Lead and Model lead of PatchTST
- Kelvin (z5502200): Logistics coordinator, Code Refactorer, Model lead of PatchTST + SARIMAX + Comparison


### Brief project description

Expand All @@ -30,3 +30,25 @@ The repository has the following folder structure:
- minutes: minutes for each meeting (left not more than 24h after the corresponding meeting)
- report: RMarkdown or Jupyter notebook report in progress
- src: source code
- ModelEvaluation: test loops on test data to retrieve RMSE and other metrics on best models
- ModelTuning: training/validation loops on best models to retrieve validation RMSE and other metrics on candidate models
- ModelFiles: code files that house different models we used to compare.
- PatchTST_supervised: houses PatchTST code. Taken from PatchTST authors (yuqinie98, 2025) and adapted for our use case
- GradientBoosting / LSTM: additional utility functions for these models
- BasicModels.py / GroupAModels.py: holds the model classes. Gradient Booster and SARIMAX codes implemented by Scikit-learn.org., 2009 and ‌www.statsmodels.org respectively
- ModelConfigs.py: config classes used to standaradize inputs into the model classes
- ModelPlots.py: graphing functions to generate plots for the report
- NSWData: code files for datasets and dataloaders used commonly by the model classes
- NSWDataloader.py: extracts, pre-processes and train/val/test splitting of raw data files from data/NSW and saves it back into the folder
- NSWDataSet.py: torch data sets used in the training/testing loops of LSTM and PatchTST
- best_models.ipynb: notebook for analysis on validation data on candidate models to get best models for each family
- model_plots.ipynb: notebook for plotting predictions vs actuals used in the reporting
- model_test_results.ipynb: consolidates test metric results of best models and outputs tables for reporting
- others: draft notebooks used to refactor code and Exploratory Data Analysis notebook

### Code References
Scikit-learn.org. (2009). 3.2.4.3.6. sklearn.ensemble.GradientBoostingRegressor — scikit-learn 0.21.2 documentation. [online] Available at: https://scikit-learn.org/stable/modules/generated/sklearn.ensemble.GradientBoostingRegressor.html.

‌www.statsmodels.org. (n.d.). statsmodels.tsa.statespace.sarimax.SARIMAX — statsmodels. [online] Available at: https://www.statsmodels.org/dev/generated/statsmodels.tsa.statespace.sarimax.SARIMAX.html.

‌yuqinie98 (2025). GitHub - yuqinie98/PatchTST: An offical implementation of PatchTST: ‘A Time Series is Worth 64 Words: Long-term Forecasting with Transformers.’ (ICLR 2023) https://arxiv.org/abs/2211.14730. [online] GitHub. Available at: https://github.com/yuqinie98/PatchTST?tab=readme-ov-file [Accessed 14 Apr. 2026].
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