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research: verified original public Eurostat PL government bond yield context v0.4 (#152) - #153
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… JSON-stat shape (#152) Original source and content hash only in bounded one-shot CI; zero model admission, no account or real financial paths.
…rser after live source shape verification (#152)
…latform tests (#152) Source documented with exact ECB/Eurostat methodology and license caveats; trigger full regression and CodeQL.
…59 published Polish yields (#152) Block log-control metadata, duplicate dimension indices and spoofed category codes. Document actual original-source SHA, 59 real monthly values, aggregate rates and no-PIT caveat.
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Public-first v0.4 — source-backed review & acceptance evidence (2026-11-12)Exact PR #153 HEAD: Actually verified publisher response: one-shot official source CI #43325692714 SUCCESS; 59/59 non-missing 2021-11…2026-09 original JSON-stat data points; raw SHA256 Review performed: exact-head semantic/manual source-code inspection of source allowlist, no redirects/max response bytes, fixed (freq/int_rt/geo/time) identity and dimensions, 59 contiguous months and value units/range, nonfinite/zero/missing handling, future source window, no historical PIT assumptions, provider-update log injection, source bytes SHA and independent receipt hash, untrusted category codes, typed yield vs realized total return. No P0/P1 correctness flaw found in this source-scoped educational module. Manual assistant review is not independent human/security-owner approval. CodeQL is an independent automated static scan but does not substitute for that approval. Actual test evidence: offline no-network Boundary: Eurostat ESMS §3.4/4/14.1/17/18 describes percent p.a. yield, transmission and potential revisions. General Eurostat reuse policy allows statistical-data reuse with attribution subject to exceptions; not independent authorization for other vendors or financially executable activity. |
FINAL — v0.4 Polish official Eurostat bond yield research ACCEPTED (not bond total return)DONE. PR #153 merged (squash) from exact PR HEAD Cancelled job triage: stack workflow #43325692736 attempt 1 was CANCELLED for queued Original one-shot official Eurostat No promotion: |
Closes #152 after exact-HEAD source, governance, CodeQL and full-regression acceptance, then postmerge main.
Delivered — actual official, free, public Polish 10Y-ish sovereign yields
Eurostat original dataset irt_lt_mcby_m (monthly PL, MCBY convergence criterion; percent per annum, representative central-government bonds with approximate ten-year maturity). Official detailed ESMS methodology sections 3.4, 4, 14.1, 17, 18; Eurostat reuse notice sections 2–3, rights exceptions apply.
Actual original public response: source CI #43325200200 59/59 actual observations from Nov-2021 through Sep-2026 (no missing months), original response sha256
acc302b641ca981b5c8e22259a613d092e5c12d0cb01e39e7e093c07c59c3abf, current provider update2026-11-12T11:00:00+0100; mean yield level 5.6115% annualized, 3.12% min, 7.82% max and 154bps maximum month-to-month yield level difference — these are NOT investment returns.Files
scripts/eurostat_pl_bond_yield_source_probe_v04.py: bounded fixed official HTTPS JSON-stat source metadata only, no redirects, timestamp and category sanitizer, SHA.scripts/eurostat_pl_government_bond_yield_context_v04.py: schema-typed 59-month ORIGINAL source-verified rate parse, annual-percent rate validation, min/max/mean and source fingerprint; no row data printed.tests/test_eurostat_pl_*_v04.py: 19 negative/shape contracts on each Ubuntu/macOS with sockets blocked.docs/ISL_EUROSTAT_PL_SOVEREIGN_YIELD_REFERENCE_V04_20261112_PL.md: exact primary-source sections, rights caveats, real observations and PIT restrictions.Acceptance
historical_pit_certified=false/bond_holding_period_return_observed=false/qualified_model_series=[]/INSUFFICIENT_DATA_HOLD_CASH, no real financial operations, no automatic source-rights admission. #116 remains OPEN for actual Polish total-return rights/PIT.