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ML-Based Traffic Speed Prediction — Deployment Analysis

Code, experiment results, and trained models accompanying the paper "Cloud-Fog-Edge Deployment of ML-Based Traffic Speed Prediction: An Empirical Analysis of Performance, Cost, and Scalability" (University of Manchester).

Repository layout

Path Contents
paper_artifacts/ Start here for reviewer materials: trained models + scalers, the model evaluation document, the observed monitoring metrics document, and a SHA-256 manifest.
experiments/ The cross-platform experiment system (runner, training/inference/feature-engineering phases, per-platform configuration).
results/ Sample experiment result records (per-run JSON with wall-clock, accuracy, and resource telemetry).
model/ Shared data-loading, feature-engineering, and evaluation modules used by the experiment.
tools/ Configuration template (credentials blanked).

The experiments in one paragraph

One ~142k-parameter multilayer perceptron per sensor direction predicts five-minute average traffic speed from 15 calendar and event features, for 37 sensor directions in Greater Manchester (Dec 2020 – Feb 2025 data). The identical training and inference pipeline is evaluated across six platforms — HPC cloud GPU (A100), a fog workstation (RTX 4090), simulated Jetson / roadside-unit / Raspberry Pi edge tiers, and an AWS t2.medium instance — over four sensor-count tiers and multiple training scenarios (initial training, cold-start re-training, and warm-start re-training over recent and progressive windows).

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