Skip to content

The coordinated re-run: settings layer, refined peaks, the whole solved camera - #21

Merged
rharnish merged 4 commits into
mainfrom
coordinated-rerun
Sep 26, 2026
Merged

rharnish merged 4 commits into
mainfrom
coordinated-rerun

Conversation

@rharnish

@rharnish rharnish commented Sep 26, 2026 •

Copy link
Copy Markdown
Owner

The one re-run that moves every README number, from a single commit (d469059), tagged results-2026-09-26 once this merges.

What changed

  • settings.py. All 13 FIGLIB_* switches are resolved in one place, in this order: environment, then profile (configs/*.toml via FIGLIB_PROFILE, or a module main()'s default), then default. Nothing writes into os.environ any more, so import order can't change results. The four setdefault blocks are gone; tests/test_settings.py covers this.
  • The run log records every setting as resolved, including defaults, with the source of each and the profile's hash.
  • Peak refinement is on by default (FIGLIB_REFINE_KM=0.01; set it to 0 for the bare grid node).
  • FIGLIB_POSE_FULL is on in the calibrated profiles. It was measured first. On the core corpus it moves no fire by more than 0.03 km. On the recent corpus it removes the bm-lens miss of about 3°.
  • rerun_results.sh runs every stage that reaches the README, from a committed tree.

Numbers that moved (confirmed-tier upper medians, center bearing)

before (0.4 km grid) now (refined)
published 1.90 km, 7 ≤ 2 km 1.87 km, 7
fisheye lens 1.70 km, 8 1.68 km, 6
+ star azimuth 2.00 km, 6 2.02 km, 5
+ whole solved camera — 2.02 km, 5
  • All 26 fires: 2.58 → 2.80 km. Kitchen 0.08 → 0.14, Willow 0.30 → 0.21. PORTOLA's CAL FIRE point is now 1.24 km from the estimate, still inside the 95% region.
  • Rainbow, bearings alone: 1.42 → 2.17 km. Palisades: 1.82 → 1.08 km. Both come from refinement: each had a grid cell sitting off a flat ridge peak.
  • Unchanged: the quantization/edge figures, the false-alarm sweep, and the skyline check. None of them go through solve.

The full account is in NOTES.md, "The coordinated re-run" (2026-09-26).

Builds on #19 and #20, both merged (merge commits).

🤖 Generated with Claude Code

rharnish and others added 4 commits September 26, 2026 11:25
…ement on

- settings.get reads environment, then a profile (configs/<name>.toml via FIGLIB_PROFILE,
  or a module main()'s default), then the default. Nothing is written to os.environ, so
  import order no longer changes results: the setdefault blocks in coverage, bias,
  fig_bearing and terrain_range become default_profile("calibrated") in their __main__.
- provenance.record stores the whole resolved set, defaults included, with the profile's
  name and hash; configs/ counts toward the dirty-tree check.
- FIGLIB_REFINE_KM defaults to 0.01: solve re-finds its peak off the 0.4 km grid unless
  set to 0. Every published number moves with the coordinated re-run that follows.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Measured before deciding, with refinement on. Core corpus: bearings move a median 0.00 deg
and at most 0.30 (sm-n at Steele); seven fires move by 0.03 km or less; no count changes.
Recent corpus (NOTES, 2026-09-25): it removes the bm-lens miss (bm-w at Bernardo +4.6 ->
+1.6 deg, bm-e at Junction +4.6 -> +1.8), and Bernardo loses the 0.63 km that miss had
bought it. The model is the one the stars measured, so it is the calibrated one.

compare_geolocation gains the _full column; stars.fig_geolocation draws it as "after".

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
…erywhere

Every stage in rerun_results.sh, from d469059 (the recent block run twice; the first four
entries were dirty from a docstring edit mid-run, and are kept). Confirmed-tier upper
medians, grid -> refined: 1.90 -> 1.87 (published), 1.70 -> 1.68 (fisheye),
2.00 -> 2.02 (star azimuth), 2.02 with the whole solved camera. All 26: 2.58 -> 2.80.
Rainbow 1.42 -> 2.17 and Palisades 1.82 -> 1.08 are refinement: their grid cells sat off
flat ridge peaks. README, figures, likelihood-over-time and NOTES follow the new numbers.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
@rharnish
rharnish merged commit b7d1f4b into main Sep 26, 2026
1 check passed
@rharnish
rharnish deleted the coordinated-rerun branch September 27, 2026 03:09
Sign up for free to join this conversation on GitHub. Already have an account? Sign in to comment

Labels

None yet

Projects

None yet

Development

Successfully merging this pull request may close these issues.

1 participant