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bayesian-structural-time-series

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supplMorowaliOcean

Satellite-based causal attribution of coastal water clarity degradation to nickel smelting expansion at Indonesia's Morowali Industrial Park using Bayesian structural time series, multi-algorithm changepoint detection, and Sentinel-2 land cover intensity analysis.

  • Updated Jul 2, 2026
  • Python

Causal inference toolkit in Python: DiD, Synthetic Control and BSTS with ground-truth validation and placebo tests; reports 69% cross-method disagreement rather than hiding it; FastAPI service, Streamlit demo, Docker + GitHub Actions CI at >=90% coverage, pytest suite.

  • Updated Jul 15, 2026
  • Python

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