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This project studies the effects of the shape parameter estimator uncertainty at different threshold levels on the value-at-risk confidence interval for quantitative risk management (QRM) using the Generalized Pareto Distribution (GPD) from the Extreme Value Theory (EVT) approach.
🏦 Machine Learning system for credit default prediction using a RandomForestClassifier. Features an end-to-end pipeline including synthetic financial data generation, robust preprocessing (ColumnTransformer), and comprehensive evaluation with ROC-AUC and Confusion Matrices.
Data-driven optimization of Teradyne’s excess inventory approval process using Python, lead-time adjusted demand modeling, and financial risk analysis to improve capital efficiency and reduce excess spend.
A comprehensive implementation of the ID3 Decision Tree algorithm from scratch for financial risk assessment, featuring custom entropy calculations, information gain optimization, and detailed data preprocessing.
A statistical pipeline for multi-asset market data (2010–2025). Features automated cleaning, volatility engineering, and latent sentiment extraction using PCA and Factor Analysis
Loan default risk EDA — End-to-end exploratory data analysis on imbalanced financial data (11.39:1 ratio). Univariate and bivariate segmentation by income, age, education, and organization type.
Built a multi-horizon (1–5 year) bankruptcy early-warning system on 43K+ firms using 64 financial ratios. Compared Altman-style linear models (ROC-AUC ~0.71) with XGBoost (ROC-AUC up to 0.97), adding temporal regime and cost-sensitive threshold analysis.