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Fills the gap between mechanical theme index (themes/低軌衛星.md, auto-generated by build_themes.py from wikilink reverse lookup, covers 42 TW companies) and curated narrative that maps technology blocks → chip → module → system → tickers. Deliverables: - docs/analysis/2026-06-18-LEO-satellite-deep-dive.md (~6k 字 Traditional Chinese, 81 unique wikilinks, 4 constellations × 6 chip blocks × 8 tickers) - docs/superpowers/specs/2026-06-18-leo-satellite-analysis-design.md (full design spec from brainstorming session) - docs/analysis/research-notes/00-verification-log.md (6-point adversarial verification ledger that caught 2 worker confabulations: W06 fabricated "2026 Q1 80.81% LEO" and W04 fabricated "7717 50% satellite H1 2025") - scripts/build_themes.py: 5-line additive patch — optional analysis_doc field on THEME_DEFINITIONS injects 📖 deep-dive header link when set. Backward compatible: other themes unaffected. Reusable for future CoWoS / 矽光子 / HBM deep-dives. - themes/低軌衛星.md: regenerated; now header-links the deep-dive. Methodology: 12 parallel research worker agents (4 tech-chapter + 8 ticker deep-dive) gathered material; permission denial in worker worktrees forced all to return inline findings rather than persisted files. Coordinator aggregated inline findings into the main report after adversarial cross-verification of 6 high-priority quantitative claims (4/6 confirmed, 2/6 confabulations caught, 1 source URL unverifiable kept as 市場傳聞). Honesty markers throughout the report: - §3.6 explicitly documents TW ADC/DAC structural gap (TASA Beyond 5G LEO payload built by US vendor, per Focus Taiwan 2025-04-01). - §5.3 全訊: no public Starlink design-win evidence — framed as defense-LEO SAR + ground-station mmWave PA, not Starlink supplier. - §5.7 聯發科 中性贏家 thesis verified against 2 official MediaTek press releases (2025-02-24 first 5G NR-NTN over OneWeb LEO with ITRI gNB; 2025-11-03 first 3GPP Rel-19 5G-Advanced NR-NTN over OneWeb LEO with ESA + Sharp + ITRI + R&S). Confidence marker convention applied: unmarked = IR/法說會/年報 confirmed, *(市場傳聞)* = press only, *(推測)* = inferred from product line. Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
This was referenced Jun 18, 2026
Per the newly-established analytical framework in CLAUDE.md: 1. Add §6.3 對偶 long/short candidate mapping — every catalyst/risk now names symmetric winner + loser pair (e.g., Direct-to-Cell long 聯發科 → short 啟碁/攸泰科技/台揚) 2. Expand Appendix B to include channel-check 加權 (B.1) — explains per-source trust rationale based on 第幾手 / 位置 / 誘因 / track record. Renumbered original verification summary to B.2. Framework principle applied: "同一個變化必然伴隨對稱輸家". The report already implicitly identified some losers (e.g., D2C shrinking UT market), but now they're explicitly paired and tabulated. Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
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Unit 8: Docker scheduler container
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Triggered by 2026/4 Infineon-led 5-15% pricing cycle, Nexperia (Wingtech) Dutch-government export control, and AI server 800V HVDC architecture upgrade — three convergent catalysts hitting TW power semi cluster. Deliverables: - docs/analysis/2026-06-18-power-semi-pmic-deep-dive.md (~21k chars Traditional Chinese, 61 unique wikilinks, 13 individual ticker deep-dives) - docs/superpowers/specs/2026-06-18-power-semi-pmic-design.md (full design spec) - scripts/build_themes.py: (1) restore analysis_doc rendering logic (additive, backward compatible) — auto-injects 📖 header link when a THEME_DEFINITION provides analysis_doc field; (2) add new 功率半導體 theme pointing to the deep-dive - themes/功率半導體.md: new auto-generated theme index with 📖 deep-dive link Coverage spans 3 sub-clusters per user direction: - Discrete IDM/fabless: 強茂 2481, 德微 3675, 台半 5425, 富鼎 8261, 大中 6435, 杰力 5299 - Wafer foundry / Epitaxy: 漢磊 3707 (SiC/GaN), 世界先進 5347 (8" BCD), 嘉晶 3016 (SiC/GaN epi) - PMIC integrated: 矽力-KY 6415, 致新 8081, 茂達 6138, 天鈺 4961 Three catalysts each verified to ≥2 sources: - Infineon 4/1 5-15% hike confirmed via 工商時報 + 數位時代 + Smart 自學網 - TI 7/1 PMIC+MOSFET second wave confirmed via Pocketstock + 數位時代 - Nexperia event timeline (Dutch 10/13 takeover, China retaliation, Wingtech $1.2B lawsuit) via Wikipedia + Nexperia official press - NVIDIA 800V HVDC 2026Q4 timeline via SemiAnalysis + Szsanyi - Open Compute ORv3/ORv4 specs via OCP + Molex Honesty markers: - §3.2 IGBT TW gap (high-voltage power modules still dominated by Infineon/Mitsubishi/Fuji — TW structural weakness) - §3.5 SiC 8" wafer lag (1-2 years behind Wolfspeed/STM) - §5.6 漢磊 still loss-making (2025 GM -3.30%) — call this out explicitly - §6 risks include Nexperia US capacity ramp narrowing TW transfer window Confidence markers: unmarked = IR/法說會/年報 confirmed, *(市場傳聞)* = press-only, *(推測)* = inferred from product line. Note: this PR's build_themes.py adds analysis_doc rendering logic. The sibling LEO satellite PR (Timeverse#4) adds the same logic plus the 低軌衛星 analysis_doc field. Merge order: either PR first; the second merge will need to resolve the duplicate rendering-logic block in build_themes.py around line 226 (additive lines, easy to merge by hand). Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
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Summary
docs/analysis/2026-06-18-LEO-satellite-deep-dive.md),涵蓋 4 大星座 (Starlink v1/v2/v2-full, Kuiper, OneWeb/Eutelsat, 台星 B5G) × 6 個晶片 block × 8 家個股 deep-divescripts/build_themes.py:新增 optionalanalysis_doc欄位 (additive 5-行 patch),使themes/<topic>.md自動產出時可注入 📖 deep-dive header link。向後相容,其他主題不變;可重用於 CoWoS / 矽光子 / HBM / EUV 之後的 deep-divethemes/低軌衛星.md重生:頂部新增 📖 連結,雙向 link 機制完成docs/superpowers/specs/2026-06-18-leo-satellite-analysis-design.md:完整 brainstorming spec(產品需求、章節骨架、研究方法論)docs/analysis/research-notes/00-verification-log.md:6 點 adversarial verification log,攔截 2 個 worker confabulation報告誠實揭露點
Adversarial verification (見 Appendix B + research-notes/00-verification-log.md)
方法論
12 個 parallel background research worker agents(4 個 tech-chapter + 8 個 ticker deep-dive)並行收集材料;workers 在 worktree 內遇 permission denial 無法寫檔/commit,全部以 inline final message 回傳 findings。coordinator 從 inline findings 跨 worker 整合,再以 6 個 high-priority 量化主張 WebFetch 交叉驗證後串行寫主報告。
Test plan
python3 scripts/build_themes.py 低軌衛星重生,頂部出現 📖 linkif theme_def.get(\"analysis_doc\")guard)🤖 Generated with Claude Code