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In silico pipeline predicting the regenerative potential of skincare serum ingredients by combining AutoDock Vina docking, mouse and human transcriptomic signatures, and a transparent evidence-weighted score

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Serum-Primed Healing: In Silico Regeneration Prediction

Computational pipeline predicting the regenerative potential of serum/patch ingredients by combining molecular docking, cross-species transcriptomic signatures, and a transparent evidence-weighted scoring system.

Compounds screened

Lactic acid, salicylic acid, ascorbic acid, asiaticoside, acemannan, Pal-KTTKS, GHK-Cu, glycolic acid.

Pipeline

  1. Target identification: PubChem (CID/SMILES/SDF) + SwissTargetPrediction, cross-checked against literature mechanisms.
  2. Molecular docking: AutoDock Vina (local CLI), blind-box docking auto-computed from receptor geometry. 11/13 compound-target pairs successfully docked; 2 (acemannan pairs) excluded because the molecule size exceeds standard docking tool limits.
  3. Cross-species signature comparison: DESeq2 on:
    • Mouse skin regenerative vs. scarring (reused from regen-convergence-v2, GSE186527; descriptive-only due to low replicate pooling)
    • Human keloid vs. normal (GSE158395; lesional keloid n=4 vs. normal donor skin n=6)
  4. Regeneration Propensity Score (in progress): evidence-weighted, with a fully transparent per-pair contribution table.

Key results so far

  • 11 docking runs completed (AutoDock Vina); scores range from -3.59 to -13.68 kcal/mol.
  • Human signature: P4HA1, P4HA2, CASP3, COL1A1 and MMP2 significantly upregulated in keloid (scarring) vs. normal (padj < 0.05).
  • Mouse signature: no targets reached significance (padj = 1 across the board), consistent with the dataset's known low-replicate limitation.
  • No mouse-human agreement is currently computable because the mouse side is underpowered; this is stated explicitly as a limitation rather than omitted.

Regeneration Propensity Score Breakdown

Score breakdown

Repository Structure

serum-primed-healing/
├── data/
│   ├── raw/                     # compound SDFs, receptor PDBs
│   ├── processed/               # pdbqt conversions, compound/target tracking tables
│   └── from_regen_convergence/  # reused mouse DE data
├── results/
│   ├── docking/                 # docking score tables
│   ├── de_tables/               # DESeq2 outputs (mouse, human, cross-reference)
│   ├── figures/                 # all generated PNG/SVG figures
│   └── poses/                   # Vina docking pose files
├── scripts/                     # all analysis scripts (Python + R)
├── convert_ligands.py
├── prep_receptors.py
├── find_pocket_centers.py
└── run_vina_docking.py

Reproducing

  • Python env: conda create -n serum-healing python=3.11, then pip install pandas requests biopython matplotlib. Install Open Babel and AutoDock Vina via conda-forge.
  • R: DESeq2 and GEOquery via BiocManager.
  • Run the scripts in scripts/ in day-numbered order (day1_pubchem.py ... day8_cross_reference.R).

Limitations

  • Docking scores are computational predictions, not measured binding affinities.
  • The mouse regenerative signature is descriptive-only (GSE186527: pooled libraries, no per-replicate statistics).
  • GHK-Cu was docked as the peptide backbone only; Cu2+ coordination chemistry is not captured by standard scoring functions.
  • Acemannan was not docked (molecule size exceeded tool limits); its contribution to the final score is literature-only.
  • This pipeline produces a hypothesis-generating, evidence-weighted prediction, not a validated biological outcome. Wet-lab or in vivo testing is required to confirm any result.

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In silico pipeline predicting the regenerative potential of skincare serum ingredients by combining AutoDock Vina docking, mouse and human transcriptomic signatures, and a transparent evidence-weighted score

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